I don't generally post anything unrelated to Trading, but today there was market related news story so compelling that I just couldn't ignore it. Check out this story Porn kings Larry Flint and Joe Francis go begging for a bailout
Now I pose a challenge to my readers. Can anyone come up with a convincing argument why the porn industry is not every bit as deserving of bailout money as the financial institutions that have already received it? If you can, go ahead & post it in the comments section. Anyone who is able to convince me will not only be personally recognized on this blog, but will receive a personal letter of recommendation from me for a high ranking position in the Treasury Dept (and you know what that's worth).
Here's a short post that could have Big impact on your Day Trading. A simple yet profound statement.
When you trade, you must be in a mindset of Calm, Alert, Focus

Spend time to consider this. Think about each of the 3 words and their implications: Calm, Alert, Focus
So how do you achieve the mindset of Calm, Alert, Focus? The first step is to simply think deeply about it, and come to really believe that if you could achieve it, that your trading would improve. And it almost goes without saying that you need a quiet place to trade, free of distractions.
While you are trading, periodically try to notice if you are in the proper mindset. Suppose you just took a big loss on a trade. You're angry about the trade. This is the second losing trade in a row! Now you're starting to think about jumping into a quick trade to "get even". So now you ask yourself: Am I in the mindset of Calm, Alert, Focus? Since the answer is certainly NO, the smart thing to do is get up and walk away from the computer for a while.
Every trader must discover for themselves just how to achieve this proper mindset over a period of time. Sorry, it's elusive & there's no simple trick to it.
Calm, Alert, Focus is similar to the concept of FLOW, originated by the psychologist Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi. He wrote an excellent book called "Flow". Although it is not specifically about trading, I highly recommend it to all Day Traders. Interesting, a few of the most valuable books for traders are not specifically about trading. And this is one of them.
BTW, the next installment of the post Take up Arms in your Day Trading with the TRIN will appear soon.
The TRIN, also called the Arms Index, was first developed by Richard W. Arms, Jr. My apologies to Mr Arms & all my readers for the title of this post.

As you exit that losing trade with a painful loss, you curse under your breath and say "Why the hell did I make that stupid trade!!!" You can't believe it happened again. He just made another Impulse Trade.

Ever notice how many trading articles out there include useless lists of tips that will supposedly make you a better trader? The TuffTrader is looking for valuable information & insights, but ends up wasting time wading thru Bird Poop like this.
Two minutes of Google searching and a little copying & pasting, allowed me to find a couple of examples to show you what I mean. These were just the first two I happened to come across. The following are real articles from the Internet, from which I just copied out the tips lists and deleted the rest of the text for clarity.
The first is article is called "5 Ways To Improve Your Investing Skills"
1. Do Your Research
2. Evaluate Your Financial Goals
3. Don’t Be Hasty
4. Weight your risks
5. Continue Investing
The second article is called "Tips for Winning at Day Trading" (from Businessweek, believe it or not)
1. Have a system and stick to it like Crazy Glue [OK, this one tip I would admit has true merit]
2. Cut your losses
3.The only thing you have to fear is fear itself
4. Don't get greedy
5. Worry about what you can control. Ignore what you can't
6. The market is always right.
7. A little bit of technical analysis never hurts.
8. Don't try to catch a falling safe
9. Buy low, sell high
10 - 14. Blah, Blah, Blah, more of the same not even worth my effort to copy & past
Ok, so why are all these tips a useless waste of time? Here's the TuffTrade Tip List for Spotting Useless Tip Lists:
1. You've heard them all before a million times
2. They are so general as to be impossible to apply
3. The are so obvious that if you don't already know them you have no business trading anyway
4. They are not Falsifiable
That said, here's the TuffTrade Cynical Tip List, guaranteed to be Original, contain no Bird Poop and not be a useless waste of time:
1. If someone tells you to buy this or that stock because it just can't lose, punch him in the nose, then run like hell
2. Instead of listening to paid stock analysts, you are better off getting advice from cab drivers.
3. The more time you spend listening to the financial news, the worse your trading results will be
4. Every trader should read the book "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds". Even though it was written in 1852, it's better than whatever the flavor of the month trading book happens to be.
5. If you can think of another way to earn a living aside from trading, do it.
6. You can learn a lot about the markets by watching a herd of Wildebeest. Think crowd behavior. As a trader, don't be a Wilderbeest.
7. Spend a minimum of 1000 hours learning about the markets before you even consider putting any real money at risk
8. Many of the celebrity traders made the huge money they did thru illegal means. Think Michael Milkin, Ivan Boesky & Bernard Madoff . Since you probably don't intent to break the law, you are at a distinct disadvantage
How do you know if you have a good (profitable) Trading Plan? Follow it to the letter for a few months in SIM mode, and if you make a lot of money, then you probably have a good Plan. No matter how good you think your plan is, you're only going to know for sure by actually following it for a while. OK, suppose you did follow it for a few months and end up losing money (luckily, not real money)? Hopefully after this experience you've learned enough over the months to modify your trade plan to one that works.
Just in case you are not familiar with SIM trading, it's short for SIMulated Trading, and also called Paper Trading. It's a service available from many brokers where it looks and feels just like a real trading account, except you are only trading play money.
One reason to SIM trade prior to trading cash, which few people would argue with, is simply to get used to your trading platform. In other words, to avoid entry errors while you are learning the particular software you will be using enter & exit trades. You want to avoid the shock of opening your account one morning, noticing a huge unexpected loss, and thinking to yourself "I thought I had exited that position yesterday". Oops!!!
The use of SIM trading to test your Trading Plan, however, is more controversial. A lot a smart traders would argue that you are wasting your time, because when real money is on the line you will trade differently than when you know it's only play money. While I agree this arguement has some merit (you probably WILL trade differently when real money is on the line) I still stick to my advice above: To test your Trading Plan, follow it to the letter for a few months in SIM mode. Keep reading ...
You could break down the ingredients of trading profitability into 3 components:
Component 1. Having a good Trading plan
Component 2. Successfully dealing with your emotions to allow you to faithfully execute your trading plan
Component 3. Making good judgment calls within your trading plan.
It is Component 2 that critics would argue makes SIM trading a waste of time. Will you react the same way losing $5000 in hard cold cash than if it was just play money? Probably not. To minimize this drawback to SIM trading, you have to do everything possible when you SIM trade to treat it exactly like you were trading real cash. So pretend you are trading real money. Get excited when you have a nice SIM win and scold yourself when you make a dumb mistake that causes SIM loss.
Here's a method you can try, to help you care more about your wins and losses in SIM mode. And of course caring helps the experience be psychologically more like really trading cash. Make a vow to yourself that you will not trade cash in until you have met some specific goal in your Sim trading. For example, your goal could be to Sim trade with a minimum $250 per week profit, for 4 weeks in a row before you start trading cash. Since you are eager begin trading cash to really see that money start coming in, every winning Sim trade feels good because you know you're getting that much closer to trading cash, and every losing SIM trade feels bad because it puts it that much farther away.
Still on Component 2, let's say you SIM trade your Plan for a few months and you end of LOSING a sizable amount of play money. Then you know almost for sure that your Trade Plan is no good. Because if you were to use the same plan to trade cash, it's likely the added emotions of trading cash would cause you to trade worse, not better. Now suppose you SIM trade your Plan for a few months and you end of EARNING a sizable amount of play money. Then you start trading cash, but you start LOSING money. Now you can assume you have a good Trading Plan, but are not successfully dealing with your emotions to allow you to faithfully execute it. Ok, so it sucks that you spent all this time only to lose money, but at least you have a logical direction to go in to try to fix the problem.
What about Component 3? What do I mean by "Making good judgment calls within your trading plan "? It has to do with how you decide to enter and exit trades, whether it's more mechanical or more discretionary. Mechanical entry and exit methods are predefined in such a specific and rigorous manner that they require little or no judgment on the part of the trader to make the trading decision. Discretionary methods are predefined in a more general way and thus require much more judgment. The more discretionary your entry method is, the more often you will find yourself asking this question: "The charts show that the minimum criteria of my setup has been met, but is this a high enough probability trade to pull the trigger?" Answering this question wisely requires good judgment, and the best way to develop this judgment is through SIM trading. The idea is by making trade after trade, over time you begin to develop this judgment. Whether you SIM trade or not you'll still probably have to go through this learning period, but SIM trading is kinder to your account balance.
So quit reading blogs, you've got work to do.
In my post Day Trading Lesson: The Roadmap I present to list of steps to learn to Day Trade. Here are the details of Step 11:
Create a Trading Plan
A Trading Plan is a business plan for your trading business. It essentially defines everything that you will do in order to earn money trading. It puts into a formal statement a lot of the thinking that hopefully you've already done if you've your way through this roadmap to this point.
The problem that many traders have is they have not carefully thought out a method that is likely to be profitable over the long term, and they don't consistently practice of profitable method day after day. Your Trading Plan is a good tool to avoid this problem. So if you want to stand a chance of making any money in the markets, he damn well better have a good trading plan and the discipline to follow it.
There are 4 "Rules" to creating your Trading Plan. Other than these, a "good" Trade Plan can vary quite a bit depending on your personality and style.
1. It must be carefully thought out over a period of time
2. It must be in writing
3. It must include Risk Management
4. It must include your Edge
Here's an example of a Trade Plan to get your started:
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Miracletech’s Superior Trade Plan
Date ____________
Plan was modified on this date ________
Edge
The purpose of this plan is to define my “edge”, ie a system that has better than chance odds of creating profits. A good edge in general will either produce more winners than losers, bigger winners than losers, or both. A good edge is much more than just a setup. All parts of this plan should contribute to my edge.
Discipline
Without the discipline to follow this plan, it is useless
Markets
Example 1. I trade emini futures on an intraday time frame. I trade only YM & ES, to allow max concentration. Since I only trade these two, I have been able to watch them long enough to have a pretty good idea of their “personality”.
Example 2. I trade NASDAQ stocks on an intraday time frame. I trade these 8 stocks _______ only, because my research shows me that they have good volume, trend well & prices vary enough to make a profit
Example 3. I trade NYSE stocks on an intraday time frame. I trade any NYSE stock that meets my criteria that day. I use a scanning software called _________ to help me find stocks that meet my criteria that day.
Recording
• I will enter every trade I make (Sim or cash) in a spreadsheet
• I will make a diary entry every day I trade or work on trading
Daily Trade Routine
I follow a written “Daily Trade Routine” (a separate document), which includes the most important tasks I need to do every day. This facilitates good habits, discipline & consistency.
Need for consistency
I need to follow the same procedures day after day. This allows me to evaluate if my techniques give me a long term edge in the market. After a period of time I can make a specific changes to my Trading Plan, try it for a while, & see if it improves my profitability
Healthy Balanced Lifestyle
Living a balanced lifestyle is important because not only will it make me a happier person, but will make me a better trader.
The main reason I choose trading for a living, is to give me the lifestyle I want, including freedom from corporate BS & unlimited earnings potential. But trading itself tends to create an imbalanced lifestyle (since it involves sitting alone for hours in front of the computer), so I must work to create balance. Elements of healthy balanced lifestyle are:
• Good sleep habits
• Exercise
• Proper diet
• Limit alcohol & caffeine
• Spending time away from trading w/o thinking about trading
• Spending time outdoors
• Spending time with friends & family
• Having fun
Risk Management
If I want to do this full-time & be successful, I must be make my initial investment last as long as possible during the learning curve.
At this point in my development I will only trade 1 contract at a time. To be re-evaluated later as I become a more experienced trader.
Maximum risk per trade is $55. This is assured by having a 10 tick stop automatically entered each time I enter a trade. Allows for 1 tick slippage.
The max I will ever lose in any one day is 2.5% of my total acct. Since my starting acct is $____, that’s $____. If I ever lose this much in a day, I will stop trading for the day.
The max I will ever lose in any one week is 5% of my total account. Since my starting acct is $_____, that’s $_____. If I ever lose this much in a week, I will stop trading for the week.
More specifically, I will not enter a trade that could potentially cause me to lose more than my daily or weekly max. eg, if I were down $205 on the day, and my max daily loss was $250, I could not make any more trades because a Stop Out of $55 would cause me to go over the $250 /day max loss
As my acct size changes, I will re-calculate the dollar amounts of my max daily loss & my max weekly loss. I will always know what these amounts are before I begin trading for the day.
Setups
I play 2 & only 2 setups. These setups are specifically defines in a separate document. I never enter trades that do not match my setups. However there may be times that a proper setup forms, but I decide not to enter a trade
The Charting package I use, which is _________, has been configured to view these setups properly.
Trade Entry & Exit
I use a DOM (ladder) to enter & exit all trades, The name of the DOM is use is _______. I use a _______ order (fill in Market, Limit, etc) to enter trades. I use a _______ order (fill in Market, Limit, etc) to exit trades,
Trade Management
Once I have entered a trade, I use the following criteria to decide when to exit the trade.
1. ________
2. ________
3. ________
This criteria has been carefully thought out to produce the largest winners and the smallest losers in the long run.
Scheduled Announcements
Prior to making any trades, check to see what announcements are scheduled to be made during the trading day. Do not trade during & just prior to a “big” announcement. This is because prices often bounce wildly and unpredictably during Announcements
Note: Any numbers or dollar amounts in the above of course are examples only.
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OK, so hopefully you think my example Trade plan has some merit, and gives you some good ideas to help you create your own. Or maybe you think it sucks! Feel free to flame me. The point is not to use the Miracletech Trade Plan, but to create your own trade plan.
Still thinking about trading WITHOUT a Trade Plan? I have a better idea. Why not take the money you were going to put into your trading account, and donate it to MAKE A WISH . The money will be gone anyway, but you'll feel a lot better giving it to a worthy charity than to another trader who has a Trading Plan (and a clue).
In my post Day Trading Lesson: The Roadmap I present to list of steps to learn to Day Trade. Here are the details of Step 10:
Define your Trading Edge
The main principle behind Day Trading, is that for a particular stock or futures contract, at certain points in time there is a greater probability that price will increase than decrease, and at other points in time there is a greater probability that price will decrease than increase. So if at 10:32 a.m. you determine that EBAY stock has a greater probability that price will increase than decrease, you enter a Long trade. And if at 11:47 a.m. you determine that the DOW e-mini futures contract (YM) has a greater probability that price will decrease than increase, you enter a Short trade.
Now that you have entered a trade, you have to make the decision when to exit the trade, either to lock in profits if the trade moves in your favor, or to minimize losses should the trade move against you.
In my post Day Trading Lesson: The Roadmap I present to list of steps to learn to Day Trade. Here are the details of Step 9:
Decide if you want to Trade Stocks or Futures (you can trade Forex also, but this blog does not discuss Forex)
In this post I'll try to highlight the major features and differences between stocks and futures to help you decide.
Let's define Stocks and Futures. Stocks are really easy to understand. When you buy stock in a Corporation, you become a part owner of that Corp, and are therefore entitled to a share of their earnings (if any). Futures are a little more difficult to understand. If you buy futures, you are actually entering into a contract, agreeing to buy some Physical commodity (like wheat, corn or gold) or a Financial Instrument (like the S&P 500 Index) at a predetermined future date and price. If you sell futures, you are actually entering into a contract, agreeing to sell some Physical commodity or a Financial Instrument at a predetermined future date and price.
So although Stocks & Futures are completely different instruments, it practice how you trade either of them as Day Trader will be the same. Stock prices go up and down. Futures prices go up and down. Whichever you trade you bring the particular instrument up in a chart, and based on the chart's price action and technical indicators you make decisions to buy or sell. If a particular chart were not labeled, it would be difficult to tell it were a stock or a future.
So your trading decisions will be the same for either Stocks or Futures, but there are certain details about each that you need to know before you can trade them. If you're a newbie these may seem difficult at first, but I can assure this is easy stuff compared to actually making trade decisions based on technical analysis. Let's go over some of them:
There is a legal minimum account size of $25,000 set by Uncle Sam for stock traders living in the US. Let me explain. The SEC has specific rules regarding what they call a Pattern Day Trader. Anyone who Day Trades will be labeled as a "Pattern Day Trader" very quickly (I wear the label proudly). And the SEC requires "Pattern Day Traders" to have a minimum account size of $25,000. For whatever reason, there is no such minimum acct size for futures traders. So your minimum acct size can be much less.
With Stocks you trade shares, but with Futures you trade contracts. So while a small Stock trader might trade 100 shares at a time, a small Futures trader might trade 1 or 2 contracts at a time.
Unlike stocks, all Futures contract have an expiration date. So if you wanted to trade Corn futures, you would have to specify Dec 2008 Corn (which expires sometime in Dec) or Mar 2009 Corn (which expires sometime in Mar). Corn also has contracts that expire in May June and Sept. You will want to be aware ot the expiration of the contract you are trading and generally you will want to start trading the next available monthly contract some days prior to expiration. Two different months of the same contract are generally available to trade at the same time, and you get to choose to trade which one you wish to trade. Depending on the present date, one of the two contracts will have th majority of the volume, and that one is generally easier to trade.
Every Futures contract has a particular tick size and tick value that you need to be aware of. For example, the mini-sized Dow Futures has a tick size of 1 point and tick value of $5. So if you bought it, for every point that it went up (or down) you make ( or lose) $5. The Nasdaq 100 emini Futures has a tick size of 1/4 point and tick value also of $5. So if you bought it, for every 1/4 point that it went up (or down) you make (or lose) $5.
Suppose you want to buy 200 shares of Microsoft stock and it's currently priced at $20? It will cost you (200 X $20) $4000. Suppose you want to buy 1 contract of Nasdaq 100 emini Futures and it's currently priced at $1075. The amount you need in your acct is not determined by the current price but instead by the contract's margin. The margin is fixed and set by your broker. The margin will vary from broker to broker, but should be around a little under $4000.
This leads us to one of the most important differences between Stocks & Futures: LEVERAGE. Continuing with the example above, for approximately the same $4000, you could buy 200 shares of Microsoft stock or 1 contract of Nasdaq 100 emini Futures. Supposing they each went up 2%, how much would you make?
IBM would go from $20 to $20.40, or .40 profit per share. Since you have 200 shares, total profit is $80. Nasdaq 100 emini would go from $1075 to 1096.50, an increase of 21.5 points. Since for every 1/4 point that it goes up you make $5, you earn $430. That's what leverage can do for you. Just remember on if the price had gone down 2%, then you would have lost $430 on the Nasdaq 100 emini, as opposed to only $80 on IBM. Obviously have the greater leverage of Futures magnifies both your gains and your losses.
Next let's consider shorting. If you think the price of the instrument you're trading is gonna go down, you enter the trade short (sell). If you're trading Futures, shorting is no different than go entering a trade long (buying). When you short a stock, you are actually borrowing or renting the shares from you broker, so there may be some additional considerations. Also certain Stocks may not be shortable at certain times. In general shorting is just more straightforward with Futures than with Stocks.
Lastly, let's consider taxes. The simple fact is, Day Traders will pay less taxes on Futures profits than on Stock profits. That's because Futures profits are treated as 60% long term cap gains, 40% short term cap gains. Stock profits (assuming you hold less than 1 year) are treated as 100% short term cap gains. The short term capital gains rate is up to 35%, but the long term capital gains rate is only of 15%. Assuming you pay the maximum short term capital gains rate of 35% (ordinary rate), you will pay 35% tax on your stock profits, but only 23% tax on futures profits. I know many of you will feel bad paying less taxes, given how wisely Uncle Sam spends those tax dollars. But a nice beach vacation might help you get over it.
Ultimatelty, as a Day Trader it's most important to trade an instrument that "moves well" and has good liquidity. Whether it's a Stock or a Future. By "moves well" I mean it has a good amount of price fluctuation and prices that tend to trend. If prices hardly change or they just seem to be all over the place, it tuff to trade (I'm a TuffTrader, but I don't like it that tuff). Good liquidity means you can enter & exit the instrument quickly with a minimum of Slippage.
Still not sure what to trade? I just told you! Look for instruments that "moves well" and have good liquidity. Study their charts to get an idea of their "personality". On the Futures side, the eminis fit the bill. Check 'em out on www.cme.com and www.cbot.com. On the Stocks side, newbies should look for actively traded Nasdaq stocks.